Correlation Between Old Republic and Ardagh

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Old Republic and Ardagh at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Old Republic and Ardagh into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Old Republic International and Ardagh Packaging Finance, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Old Republic and Ardagh and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Old Republic with a short position of Ardagh. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Old Republic and Ardagh.

Diversification Opportunities for Old Republic and Ardagh

0.31

Correlation Coefficient

Old Republic  Ardagh

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Old and Ardagh is 0.31. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Old Republic International and Ardagh Packaging Finance in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ardagh Packaging Finance and Old Republic is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Old Republic International are associated (or correlated) with Ardagh. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ardagh Packaging Finance has no effect on the direction of Old Republic i.e., Old Republic and Ardagh go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Old Republic and Ardagh

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Old Republic is expected to generate 2.83 times less return on investment than Ardagh. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Old Republic International is 7.08 times less risky than Ardagh. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Ardagh Packaging Finance is currently generating about 0.04 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  5,761  in Ardagh Packaging Finance on October 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  39.00  from holding Ardagh Packaging Finance or generate 0.68% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	61.79%
Values	Daily Returns

Old Republic International  vs.  Ardagh Packaging Finance

Old Republic Interna

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Old Republic International are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly inconsistent basic indicators, Old Republic may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2025.

Ardagh Packaging Finance

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

Weak

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ardagh Packaging Finance are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat fragile basic indicators, Ardagh sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Old Republic and Ardagh

The main advantage of trading using opposite Old Republic and Ardagh positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Old Republic position performs unexpectedly, Ardagh can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ardagh will offset losses from the drop in Ardagh's long position.

The idea behind Old Republic International and Ardagh Packaging Finance pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.