Correlation Between Old Point and Oak Valley

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Old Point and Oak Valley at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Old Point and Oak Valley into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Old Point Financial and Oak Valley Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Old Point and Oak Valley and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Old Point with a short position of Oak Valley. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Old Point and Oak Valley.

Diversification Opportunities for Old Point and Oak Valley

0.71

Correlation Coefficient

Old Point  Oak Valley

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Old and Oak is 0.71. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Old Point Financial and Oak Valley Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Oak Valley Bancorp and Old Point is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Old Point Financial are associated (or correlated) with Oak Valley. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Oak Valley Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Old Point i.e., Old Point and Oak Valley go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Old Point and Oak Valley

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Old Point Financial is expected to generate 1.08 times more return on investment than Oak Valley. However, Old Point is 1.08 times more volatile than Oak Valley Bancorp. It trades about 0.29 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Oak Valley Bancorp is currently generating about -0.24 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,168  in Old Point Financial on September 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  320.00  from holding Old Point Financial or generate 14.76% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Old Point Financial  vs.  Oak Valley Bancorp

Old Point Financial

Risk-Adjusted Performance

22 of 100

Solid

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Old Point Financial are ranked lower than 22 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly conflicting basic indicators, Old Point reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Oak Valley Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

Weak

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Oak Valley Bancorp are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly conflicting essential indicators, Oak Valley may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Pair Trading with Old Point and Oak Valley

The main advantage of trading using opposite Old Point and Oak Valley positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Old Point position performs unexpectedly, Oak Valley can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Oak Valley will offset losses from the drop in Oak Valley's long position.

The idea behind Old Point Financial and Oak Valley Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.