Correlation Between Old Point and National Bankshares

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Old Point and National Bankshares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Old Point and National Bankshares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Old Point Financial and National Bankshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Old Point and National Bankshares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Old Point with a short position of National Bankshares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Old Point and National Bankshares.

Diversification Opportunities for Old Point and National Bankshares

-0.73

Correlation Coefficient

Old Point  National Bankshares

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Old and National is -0.73. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Old Point Financial and National Bankshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on National Bankshares and Old Point is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Old Point Financial are associated (or correlated) with National Bankshares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of National Bankshares has no effect on the direction of Old Point i.e., Old Point and National Bankshares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Old Point and National Bankshares

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Old Point Financial is expected to generate 0.86 times more return on investment than National Bankshares. However, Old Point Financial is 1.16 times less risky than National Bankshares. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. National Bankshares is currently generating about -0.02 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,557  in Old Point Financial on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  445.00  from holding Old Point Financial or generate 17.4% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Old Point Financial  vs.  National Bankshares

Old Point Financial

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Old Point Financial are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unfluctuating basic indicators, Old Point reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

National Bankshares

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days National Bankshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong basic indicators, National Bankshares is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.

Pair Trading with Old Point and National Bankshares

The main advantage of trading using opposite Old Point and National Bankshares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Old Point position performs unexpectedly, National Bankshares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in National Bankshares will offset losses from the drop in National Bankshares' long position.

The idea behind Old Point Financial and National Bankshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.