Correlation Between Old Point and Home Federal

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Old Point and Home Federal at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Old Point and Home Federal into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Old Point Financial and Home Federal Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Old Point and Home Federal and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Old Point with a short position of Home Federal. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Old Point and Home Federal.

Diversification Opportunities for Old Point and Home Federal

0.44
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Old and Home is 0.44. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Old Point Financial and Home Federal Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Home Federal Bancorp and Old Point is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Old Point Financial are associated (or correlated) with Home Federal. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Home Federal Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Old Point i.e., Old Point and Home Federal go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Old Point and Home Federal

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Old Point Financial is expected to generate 0.66 times more return on investment than Home Federal. However, Old Point Financial is 1.53 times less risky than Home Federal. It trades about 0.19 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Home Federal Bancorp is currently generating about 0.06 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,503  in Old Point Financial on December 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  487.00  from holding Old Point Financial or generate 19.46% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy78.33%
ValuesDaily Returns

Old Point Financial  vs.  Home Federal Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Old Point Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Old Point Financial are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unfluctuating basic indicators, Old Point reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Home Federal Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Home Federal Bancorp are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite fragile fundamental drivers, Home Federal may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Old Point and Home Federal Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Old Point and Home Federal

The main advantage of trading using opposite Old Point and Home Federal positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Old Point position performs unexpectedly, Home Federal can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Home Federal will offset losses from the drop in Home Federal's long position.
The idea behind Old Point Financial and Home Federal Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

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