Correlation Between Exchange Traded and Ultimus Managers

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Exchange Traded and Ultimus Managers at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Exchange Traded and Ultimus Managers into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Exchange Traded Concepts and Ultimus Managers Trust, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Exchange Traded and Ultimus Managers and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Exchange Traded with a short position of Ultimus Managers. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Exchange Traded and Ultimus Managers.

Diversification Opportunities for Exchange Traded and Ultimus Managers

0.42
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Exchange and Ultimus is 0.42. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Exchange Traded Concepts and Ultimus Managers Trust in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ultimus Managers Trust and Exchange Traded is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Exchange Traded Concepts are associated (or correlated) with Ultimus Managers. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ultimus Managers Trust has no effect on the direction of Exchange Traded i.e., Exchange Traded and Ultimus Managers go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Exchange Traded and Ultimus Managers

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Exchange Traded Concepts is expected to under-perform the Ultimus Managers. In addition to that, Exchange Traded is 1.35 times more volatile than Ultimus Managers Trust. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Ultimus Managers Trust is currently generating about 0.06 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,700  in Ultimus Managers Trust on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  104.00  from holding Ultimus Managers Trust or generate 3.85% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy98.39%
ValuesDaily Returns

Exchange Traded Concepts  vs.  Ultimus Managers Trust

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Exchange Traded Concepts 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Exchange Traded Concepts has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Exchange Traded is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.
Ultimus Managers Trust 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ultimus Managers Trust are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Ultimus Managers is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.

Exchange Traded and Ultimus Managers Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Exchange Traded and Ultimus Managers

The main advantage of trading using opposite Exchange Traded and Ultimus Managers positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Exchange Traded position performs unexpectedly, Ultimus Managers can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ultimus Managers will offset losses from the drop in Ultimus Managers' long position.
The idea behind Exchange Traded Concepts and Ultimus Managers Trust pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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