Correlation Between Nasdaq 100 and Wheat Futures

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Nasdaq 100 and Wheat Futures at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Nasdaq 100 and Wheat Futures into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Nasdaq 100 and Wheat Futures, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Nasdaq 100 and Wheat Futures and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Nasdaq 100 with a short position of Wheat Futures. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Nasdaq 100 and Wheat Futures.

Diversification Opportunities for Nasdaq 100 and Wheat Futures

0.2

Correlation Coefficient

Nasdaq 100  Wheat Futures

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Nasdaq and Wheat is 0.2. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Nasdaq 100 and Wheat Futures in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Wheat Futures and Nasdaq 100 is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Nasdaq 100 are associated (or correlated) with Wheat Futures. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Wheat Futures has no effect on the direction of Nasdaq 100 i.e., Nasdaq 100 and Wheat Futures go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Nasdaq 100 and Wheat Futures

Assuming the 90 days horizon Nasdaq 100 is expected to under-perform the Wheat Futures. But the commodity apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Nasdaq 100 is 1.11 times less risky than Wheat Futures. The commodity trades about -0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Wheat Futures is currently generating about 0.0 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  55,575  in Wheat Futures on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (400.00) from holding Wheat Futures or give up 0.72% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	98.46%
Values	Daily Returns

Nasdaq 100  vs.  Wheat Futures

Nasdaq 100

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Nasdaq 100 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest unsteady performance, the Commodity's basic indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for Nasdaq 100 shareholders.

Wheat Futures

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Wheat Futures has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Wheat Futures is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Nasdaq 100 and Wheat Futures

The main advantage of trading using opposite Nasdaq 100 and Wheat Futures positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Nasdaq 100 position performs unexpectedly, Wheat Futures can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Wheat Futures will offset losses from the drop in Wheat Futures' long position.

The idea behind Nasdaq 100 and Wheat Futures pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.