Correlation Between National Fuel and TotalEnergies

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both National Fuel and TotalEnergies at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining National Fuel and TotalEnergies into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between National Fuel Gas and TotalEnergies SE, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on National Fuel and TotalEnergies and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in National Fuel with a short position of TotalEnergies. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of National Fuel and TotalEnergies.

Diversification Opportunities for National Fuel and TotalEnergies

-0.55

Correlation Coefficient

National Fuel  TotalEnergies

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between National and TotalEnergies is -0.55. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding National Fuel Gas and TotalEnergies SE in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on TotalEnergies SE and National Fuel is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on National Fuel Gas are associated (or correlated) with TotalEnergies. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of TotalEnergies SE has no effect on the direction of National Fuel i.e., National Fuel and TotalEnergies go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between National Fuel and TotalEnergies

Considering the 90-day investment horizon National Fuel Gas is expected to generate 0.75 times more return on investment than TotalEnergies. However, National Fuel Gas is 1.34 times less risky than TotalEnergies. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. TotalEnergies SE is currently generating about -0.14 per unit of risk. If you would invest  5,974  in National Fuel Gas on September 13, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  189.00  from holding National Fuel Gas or generate 3.16% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

National Fuel Gas  vs.  TotalEnergies SE

National Fuel Gas

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

Insignificant

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Fuel Gas are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable technical and fundamental indicators, National Fuel is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

TotalEnergies SE

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days TotalEnergies SE has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.

Pair Trading with National Fuel and TotalEnergies

The main advantage of trading using opposite National Fuel and TotalEnergies positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if National Fuel position performs unexpectedly, TotalEnergies can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in TotalEnergies will offset losses from the drop in TotalEnergies' long position.

The idea behind National Fuel Gas and TotalEnergies SE pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.