Correlation Between National Fuel and Suncor Energy

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both National Fuel and Suncor Energy at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining National Fuel and Suncor Energy into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between National Fuel Gas and Suncor Energy, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on National Fuel and Suncor Energy and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in National Fuel with a short position of Suncor Energy. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of National Fuel and Suncor Energy.

Diversification Opportunities for National Fuel and Suncor Energy

0.34

Correlation Coefficient

National Fuel  Suncor Energy

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between National and Suncor is 0.34. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding National Fuel Gas and Suncor Energy in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Suncor Energy and National Fuel is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on National Fuel Gas are associated (or correlated) with Suncor Energy. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Suncor Energy has no effect on the direction of National Fuel i.e., National Fuel and Suncor Energy go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between National Fuel and Suncor Energy

Considering the 90-day investment horizon National Fuel Gas is expected to generate 0.68 times more return on investment than Suncor Energy. However, National Fuel Gas is 1.47 times less risky than Suncor Energy. It trades about 0.4 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Suncor Energy is currently generating about 0.11 per unit of risk. If you would invest  6,044  in National Fuel Gas on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,824  from holding National Fuel Gas or generate 30.18% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

National Fuel Gas  vs.  Suncor Energy

National Fuel Gas

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Strong

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Fuel Gas are ranked lower than 31 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile technical and fundamental indicators, National Fuel reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Suncor Energy

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Suncor Energy are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively unfluctuating basic indicators, Suncor Energy may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Pair Trading with National Fuel and Suncor Energy

The main advantage of trading using opposite National Fuel and Suncor Energy positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if National Fuel position performs unexpectedly, Suncor Energy can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Suncor Energy will offset losses from the drop in Suncor Energy's long position.

The idea behind National Fuel Gas and Suncor Energy pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.