Correlation Between National Fuel and China Petroleum

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both National Fuel and China Petroleum at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining National Fuel and China Petroleum into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between National Fuel Gas and China Petroleum Chemical, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on National Fuel and China Petroleum and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in National Fuel with a short position of China Petroleum. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of National Fuel and China Petroleum.

Diversification Opportunities for National Fuel and China Petroleum

-0.24

Correlation Coefficient

National Fuel  China Petroleum

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between National and China is -0.24. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding National Fuel Gas and China Petroleum Chemical in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on China Petroleum Chemical and National Fuel is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on National Fuel Gas are associated (or correlated) with China Petroleum. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of China Petroleum Chemical has no effect on the direction of National Fuel i.e., National Fuel and China Petroleum go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between National Fuel and China Petroleum

Considering the 90-day investment horizon National Fuel Gas is expected to generate 0.55 times more return on investment than China Petroleum. However, National Fuel Gas is 1.82 times less risky than China Petroleum. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. China Petroleum Chemical is currently generating about -0.14 per unit of risk. If you would invest  5,980  in National Fuel Gas on September 4, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  296.00  from holding National Fuel Gas or generate 4.95% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	95.24%
Values	Daily Returns

National Fuel Gas  vs.  China Petroleum Chemical

National Fuel Gas

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Fuel Gas are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile technical and fundamental indicators, National Fuel may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

China Petroleum Chemical

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days China Petroleum Chemical has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Stock's primary indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders.

Pair Trading with National Fuel and China Petroleum

The main advantage of trading using opposite National Fuel and China Petroleum positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if National Fuel position performs unexpectedly, China Petroleum can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in China Petroleum will offset losses from the drop in China Petroleum's long position.

The idea behind National Fuel Gas and China Petroleum Chemical pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.