Correlation Between National Fuel and Cenovus Energy

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both National Fuel and Cenovus Energy at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining National Fuel and Cenovus Energy into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between National Fuel Gas and Cenovus Energy, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on National Fuel and Cenovus Energy and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in National Fuel with a short position of Cenovus Energy. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of National Fuel and Cenovus Energy.

Diversification Opportunities for National Fuel and Cenovus Energy

-0.48

Correlation Coefficient

National Fuel  Cenovus Energy

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between National and Cenovus is -0.48. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding National Fuel Gas and Cenovus Energy in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Cenovus Energy and National Fuel is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on National Fuel Gas are associated (or correlated) with Cenovus Energy. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Cenovus Energy has no effect on the direction of National Fuel i.e., National Fuel and Cenovus Energy go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between National Fuel and Cenovus Energy

Considering the 90-day investment horizon National Fuel Gas is expected to generate 0.5 times more return on investment than Cenovus Energy. However, National Fuel Gas is 1.99 times less risky than Cenovus Energy. It trades about 0.4 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Cenovus Energy is currently generating about -0.02 per unit of risk. If you would invest  6,044  in National Fuel Gas on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,824  from holding National Fuel Gas or generate 30.18% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

National Fuel Gas  vs.  Cenovus Energy

National Fuel Gas

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Strong

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Fuel Gas are ranked lower than 31 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile technical and fundamental indicators, National Fuel reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Cenovus Energy

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Cenovus Energy has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Cenovus Energy is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Pair Trading with National Fuel and Cenovus Energy

The main advantage of trading using opposite National Fuel and Cenovus Energy positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if National Fuel position performs unexpectedly, Cenovus Energy can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cenovus Energy will offset losses from the drop in Cenovus Energy's long position.

The idea behind National Fuel Gas and Cenovus Energy pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.