Correlation Between NBT Bancorp and Prosperity Bancshares

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both NBT Bancorp and Prosperity Bancshares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining NBT Bancorp and Prosperity Bancshares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between NBT Bancorp and Prosperity Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on NBT Bancorp and Prosperity Bancshares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in NBT Bancorp with a short position of Prosperity Bancshares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of NBT Bancorp and Prosperity Bancshares.

Diversification Opportunities for NBT Bancorp and Prosperity Bancshares

0.82
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between NBT and Prosperity is 0.82. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding NBT Bancorp and Prosperity Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Prosperity Bancshares and NBT Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on NBT Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Prosperity Bancshares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Prosperity Bancshares has no effect on the direction of NBT Bancorp i.e., NBT Bancorp and Prosperity Bancshares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between NBT Bancorp and Prosperity Bancshares

Given the investment horizon of 90 days NBT Bancorp is expected to under-perform the Prosperity Bancshares. In addition to that, NBT Bancorp is 1.21 times more volatile than Prosperity Bancshares. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Prosperity Bancshares is currently generating about -0.07 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  7,451  in Prosperity Bancshares on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (399.00) from holding Prosperity Bancshares or give up 5.35% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

NBT Bancorp  vs.  Prosperity Bancshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
NBT Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days NBT Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors.
Prosperity Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Prosperity Bancshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong fundamental drivers, Prosperity Bancshares is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

NBT Bancorp and Prosperity Bancshares Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with NBT Bancorp and Prosperity Bancshares

The main advantage of trading using opposite NBT Bancorp and Prosperity Bancshares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if NBT Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, Prosperity Bancshares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Prosperity Bancshares will offset losses from the drop in Prosperity Bancshares' long position.
The idea behind NBT Bancorp and Prosperity Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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