Correlation Between NBT Bancorp and Oak Valley

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both NBT Bancorp and Oak Valley at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining NBT Bancorp and Oak Valley into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between NBT Bancorp and Oak Valley Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on NBT Bancorp and Oak Valley and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in NBT Bancorp with a short position of Oak Valley. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of NBT Bancorp and Oak Valley.

Diversification Opportunities for NBT Bancorp and Oak Valley

0.77

Correlation Coefficient

NBT Bancorp  Oak Valley

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between NBT and Oak is 0.77. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding NBT Bancorp and Oak Valley Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Oak Valley Bancorp and NBT Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on NBT Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Oak Valley. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Oak Valley Bancorp has no effect on the direction of NBT Bancorp i.e., NBT Bancorp and Oak Valley go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between NBT Bancorp and Oak Valley

Given the investment horizon of 90 days NBT Bancorp is expected to generate 0.79 times more return on investment than Oak Valley. However, NBT Bancorp is 1.27 times less risky than Oak Valley. It trades about -0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Oak Valley Bancorp is currently generating about -0.12 per unit of risk. If you would invest  4,900  in NBT Bancorp on December 26, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (508.00) from holding NBT Bancorp or give up 10.37% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	98.36%
Values	Daily Returns

NBT Bancorp  vs.  Oak Valley Bancorp

NBT Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days NBT Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors.

Oak Valley Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Oak Valley Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.

Pair Trading with NBT Bancorp and Oak Valley

The main advantage of trading using opposite NBT Bancorp and Oak Valley positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if NBT Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, Oak Valley can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Oak Valley will offset losses from the drop in Oak Valley's long position.

The idea behind NBT Bancorp and Oak Valley Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.