Correlation Between NBT Bancorp and First Capital

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both NBT Bancorp and First Capital at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining NBT Bancorp and First Capital into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between NBT Bancorp and First Capital, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on NBT Bancorp and First Capital and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in NBT Bancorp with a short position of First Capital. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of NBT Bancorp and First Capital.

Diversification Opportunities for NBT Bancorp and First Capital

-0.46

Correlation Coefficient

NBT Bancorp  First Capital

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between NBT and First is -0.46. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding NBT Bancorp and First Capital in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Capital and NBT Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on NBT Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with First Capital. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Capital has no effect on the direction of NBT Bancorp i.e., NBT Bancorp and First Capital go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between NBT Bancorp and First Capital

Given the investment horizon of 90 days NBT Bancorp is expected to generate 0.83 times more return on investment than First Capital. However, NBT Bancorp is 1.21 times less risky than First Capital. It trades about 0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Capital is currently generating about 0.01 per unit of risk. If you would invest  4,824  in NBT Bancorp on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  153.00  from holding NBT Bancorp or generate 3.17% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	98.44%
Values	Daily Returns

NBT Bancorp  vs.  First Capital

NBT Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

Weak

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in NBT Bancorp are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, NBT Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

First Capital

Risk-Adjusted Performance

1 of 100

Weak

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Capital are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, First Capital is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

Pair Trading with NBT Bancorp and First Capital

The main advantage of trading using opposite NBT Bancorp and First Capital positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if NBT Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, First Capital can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Capital will offset losses from the drop in First Capital's long position.

The idea behind NBT Bancorp and First Capital pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.