Correlation Between National Bank and ST Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both National Bank and ST Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining National Bank and ST Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between National Bank Holdings and ST Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on National Bank and ST Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in National Bank with a short position of ST Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of National Bank and ST Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for National Bank and ST Bancorp

0.65
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between National and STBA is 0.65. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding National Bank Holdings and ST Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ST Bancorp and National Bank is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on National Bank Holdings are associated (or correlated) with ST Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ST Bancorp has no effect on the direction of National Bank i.e., National Bank and ST Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between National Bank and ST Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days National Bank Holdings is expected to under-perform the ST Bancorp. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, National Bank Holdings is 1.17 times less risky than ST Bancorp. The stock trades about -0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The ST Bancorp is currently generating about -0.05 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  4,262  in ST Bancorp on November 30, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (240.00) from holding ST Bancorp or give up 5.63% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

National Bank Holdings  vs.  ST Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
National Bank Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days National Bank Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders.
ST Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days ST Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong fundamental drivers, ST Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

National Bank and ST Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with National Bank and ST Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite National Bank and ST Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if National Bank position performs unexpectedly, ST Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ST Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in ST Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind National Bank Holdings and ST Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.

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