Correlation Between National Bank and Southern Missouri

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both National Bank and Southern Missouri at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining National Bank and Southern Missouri into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between National Bank Holdings and Southern Missouri Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on National Bank and Southern Missouri and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in National Bank with a short position of Southern Missouri. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of National Bank and Southern Missouri.

Diversification Opportunities for National Bank and Southern Missouri

0.76
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between National and Southern is 0.76. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding National Bank Holdings and Southern Missouri Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Southern Missouri Bancorp and National Bank is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on National Bank Holdings are associated (or correlated) with Southern Missouri. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Southern Missouri Bancorp has no effect on the direction of National Bank i.e., National Bank and Southern Missouri go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between National Bank and Southern Missouri

Given the investment horizon of 90 days National Bank Holdings is expected to generate 0.84 times more return on investment than Southern Missouri. However, National Bank Holdings is 1.19 times less risky than Southern Missouri. It trades about -0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Southern Missouri Bancorp is currently generating about -0.09 per unit of risk. If you would invest  4,273  in National Bank Holdings on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (398.00) from holding National Bank Holdings or give up 9.31% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

National Bank Holdings  vs.  Southern Missouri Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
National Bank Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days National Bank Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest unfluctuating performance, the Stock's technical indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the firm shareholders.
Southern Missouri Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Southern Missouri Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest fragile performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the firm shareholders.

National Bank and Southern Missouri Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with National Bank and Southern Missouri

The main advantage of trading using opposite National Bank and Southern Missouri positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if National Bank position performs unexpectedly, Southern Missouri can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Southern Missouri will offset losses from the drop in Southern Missouri's long position.
The idea behind National Bank Holdings and Southern Missouri Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

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