Southern Missouri Bancorp Stock Market Value
| SMBC Stock | USD 66.16 0.36 0.55% |
| Symbol | Southern |
Southern Missouri Bancorp Price To Book Ratio
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Southern Missouri. If investors know Southern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Southern Missouri listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | Dividend Share 0.86 | Earnings Share 4.39 | Revenue Per Share 14.371 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.033 |
The market value of Southern Missouri Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Southern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Southern Missouri's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Southern Missouri's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Southern Missouri's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Southern Missouri's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Southern Missouri's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Southern Missouri is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Southern Missouri's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Southern Missouri 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Southern Missouri's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Southern Missouri.
| 10/29/2024 |
| 11/28/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Southern Missouri on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Southern Missouri Bancorp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Southern Missouri over 30 days. Southern Missouri is related to or competes with Commerzbank, Investar Holding, Colony Bankcorp, Western New, IF Bancorp, Old Point, and Community West. Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Southern Bank that provides banking and financi... More
Southern Missouri Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Southern Missouri's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Southern Missouri Bancorp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0547 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.16 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.04) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.46 |
Southern Missouri Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Southern Missouri's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Southern Missouri's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Southern Missouri historical prices to predict the future Southern Missouri's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0869 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.13) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0759 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1131 |
Southern Missouri Bancorp Backtested Returns
Southern Missouri appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Southern Missouri Bancorp owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0973, which indicates the firm had a 0.0973% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Southern Missouri Bancorp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Southern Missouri's Semi Deviation of 1.61, coefficient of variation of 958.62, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0869 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Southern Missouri holds a performance score of 7. The entity has a beta of 2.24, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Southern Missouri will likely underperform. Please check Southern Missouri's value at risk, kurtosis, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Southern Missouri's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.55 |
Modest predictability
Southern Missouri Bancorp has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Southern Missouri time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Southern Missouri Bancorp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current Southern Missouri price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.55 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.33 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.43 |
Southern Missouri Bancorp lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Southern Missouri stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Southern Missouri's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Southern Missouri returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Southern Missouri has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Southern Missouri regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Southern Missouri stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Southern Missouri stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Southern Missouri stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Southern Missouri Lagged Returns
When evaluating Southern Missouri's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Southern Missouri stock have on its future price. Southern Missouri autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Southern Missouri autocorrelation shows the relationship between Southern Missouri stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Southern Missouri Bancorp.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Southern Missouri Bancorp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Southern Missouri's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Southern Missouri Bancorp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Southern Missouri Bancorp Stock:Check out Southern Missouri Correlation, Southern Missouri Volatility and Southern Missouri Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Southern Missouri. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Southern Missouri technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.