Correlation Between National Bank and NBT Bancorp

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both National Bank and NBT Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining National Bank and NBT Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between National Bank Holdings and NBT Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on National Bank and NBT Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in National Bank with a short position of NBT Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of National Bank and NBT Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for National Bank and NBT Bancorp

0.85

Correlation Coefficient

National Bank  NBT Bancorp

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between National and NBT is 0.85. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding National Bank Holdings and NBT Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on NBT Bancorp and National Bank is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on National Bank Holdings are associated (or correlated) with NBT Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of NBT Bancorp has no effect on the direction of National Bank i.e., National Bank and NBT Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between National Bank and NBT Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days National Bank Holdings is expected to generate 1.12 times more return on investment than NBT Bancorp. However, National Bank is 1.12 times more volatile than NBT Bancorp. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. NBT Bancorp is currently generating about 0.04 per unit of risk. If you would invest  4,334  in National Bank Holdings on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  440.00  from holding National Bank Holdings or generate 10.15% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

National Bank Holdings  vs.  NBT Bancorp

National Bank Holdings

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Bank Holdings are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unfluctuating technical indicators, National Bank may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

NBT Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

Weak

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in NBT Bancorp are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, NBT Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with National Bank and NBT Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite National Bank and NBT Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if National Bank position performs unexpectedly, NBT Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in NBT Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in NBT Bancorp's long position.

The idea behind National Bank Holdings and NBT Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.