Correlation Between Merck and Premier Foods

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Merck and Premier Foods at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Merck and Premier Foods into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Merck Company and Premier Foods Plc, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Merck and Premier Foods and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Merck with a short position of Premier Foods. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Merck and Premier Foods.

Diversification Opportunities for Merck and Premier Foods

-0.81
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Merck and Premier is -0.81. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Merck Company and Premier Foods Plc in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Premier Foods Plc and Merck is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Merck Company are associated (or correlated) with Premier Foods. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Premier Foods Plc has no effect on the direction of Merck i.e., Merck and Premier Foods go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Merck and Premier Foods

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Merck is expected to generate 26.51 times less return on investment than Premier Foods. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Merck Company is 1.86 times less risky than Premier Foods. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Premier Foods Plc is currently generating about 0.1 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  171.00  in Premier Foods Plc on September 4, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  37.00  from holding Premier Foods Plc or generate 21.64% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy35.22%
ValuesDaily Returns

Merck Company  vs.  Premier Foods Plc

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Merck Company 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Merck Company has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.
Premier Foods Plc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Premier Foods Plc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable fundamental indicators, Premier Foods is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

Merck and Premier Foods Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Merck and Premier Foods

The main advantage of trading using opposite Merck and Premier Foods positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Merck position performs unexpectedly, Premier Foods can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Premier Foods will offset losses from the drop in Premier Foods' long position.
The idea behind Merck Company and Premier Foods Plc pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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