Correlation Between Merck Tbk and Ultra Jaya

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Merck Tbk and Ultra Jaya at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Merck Tbk and Ultra Jaya into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Merck Tbk and Ultra Jaya Milk, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Merck Tbk and Ultra Jaya and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Merck Tbk with a short position of Ultra Jaya. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Merck Tbk and Ultra Jaya.

Diversification Opportunities for Merck Tbk and Ultra Jaya

0.83

Correlation Coefficient

Merck Tbk  Ultra Jaya

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Merck and Ultra is 0.83. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Merck Tbk and Ultra Jaya Milk in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ultra Jaya Milk and Merck Tbk is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Merck Tbk are associated (or correlated) with Ultra Jaya. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ultra Jaya Milk has no effect on the direction of Merck Tbk i.e., Merck Tbk and Ultra Jaya go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Merck Tbk and Ultra Jaya

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Merck Tbk is expected to generate 0.68 times more return on investment than Ultra Jaya. However, Merck Tbk is 1.48 times less risky than Ultra Jaya. It trades about -0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Ultra Jaya Milk is currently generating about -0.15 per unit of risk. If you would invest  360,000  in Merck Tbk on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (19,000) from holding Merck Tbk or give up 5.28% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Merck Tbk  vs.  Ultra Jaya Milk

Merck Tbk

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Merck Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent forward-looking signals, Merck Tbk is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.

Ultra Jaya Milk

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Ultra Jaya Milk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.

Pair Trading with Merck Tbk and Ultra Jaya

The main advantage of trading using opposite Merck Tbk and Ultra Jaya positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Merck Tbk position performs unexpectedly, Ultra Jaya can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ultra Jaya will offset losses from the drop in Ultra Jaya's long position.

The idea behind Merck Tbk and Ultra Jaya Milk pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.