Correlation Between Medco Energi and Vale Indonesia

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Medco Energi and Vale Indonesia at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Medco Energi and Vale Indonesia into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Medco Energi Internasional and Vale Indonesia Tbk, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Medco Energi and Vale Indonesia and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Medco Energi with a short position of Vale Indonesia. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Medco Energi and Vale Indonesia.

Diversification Opportunities for Medco Energi and Vale Indonesia

0.62
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Medco and Vale is 0.62. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Medco Energi Internasional and Vale Indonesia Tbk in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vale Indonesia Tbk and Medco Energi is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Medco Energi Internasional are associated (or correlated) with Vale Indonesia. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vale Indonesia Tbk has no effect on the direction of Medco Energi i.e., Medco Energi and Vale Indonesia go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Medco Energi and Vale Indonesia

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Medco Energi Internasional is expected to generate 0.74 times more return on investment than Vale Indonesia. However, Medco Energi Internasional is 1.34 times less risky than Vale Indonesia. It trades about -0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Vale Indonesia Tbk is currently generating about -0.13 per unit of risk. If you would invest  105,000  in Medco Energi Internasional on December 1, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (3,000) from holding Medco Energi Internasional or give up 2.86% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Medco Energi Internasional  vs.  Vale Indonesia Tbk

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Medco Energi Interna 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Medco Energi Internasional has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent forward-looking signals, Medco Energi is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.
Vale Indonesia Tbk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Vale Indonesia Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.

Medco Energi and Vale Indonesia Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Medco Energi and Vale Indonesia

The main advantage of trading using opposite Medco Energi and Vale Indonesia positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Medco Energi position performs unexpectedly, Vale Indonesia can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vale Indonesia will offset losses from the drop in Vale Indonesia's long position.
The idea behind Medco Energi Internasional and Vale Indonesia Tbk pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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