Correlation Between Lake Shore and First Business

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Lake Shore and First Business at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Lake Shore and First Business into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Lake Shore Bancorp and First Business Financial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Lake Shore and First Business and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Lake Shore with a short position of First Business. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Lake Shore and First Business.

Diversification Opportunities for Lake Shore and First Business

0.46

Correlation Coefficient

Lake Shore  First Business

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Lake and First is 0.46. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Lake Shore Bancorp and First Business Financial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Business Financial and Lake Shore is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Lake Shore Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with First Business. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Business Financial has no effect on the direction of Lake Shore i.e., Lake Shore and First Business go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Lake Shore and First Business

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Lake Shore is expected to generate 2.03 times less return on investment than First Business. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Lake Shore Bancorp is 1.12 times less risky than First Business. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Business Financial is currently generating about 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,962  in First Business Financial on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,050  from holding First Business Financial or generate 69.21% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	95.72%
Values	Daily Returns

Lake Shore Bancorp  vs.  First Business Financial

Lake Shore Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Lake Shore Bancorp are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite weak fundamental drivers, Lake Shore may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

First Business Financial

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Business Financial are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly conflicting forward indicators, First Business showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Lake Shore and First Business

The main advantage of trading using opposite Lake Shore and First Business positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Lake Shore position performs unexpectedly, First Business can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Business will offset losses from the drop in First Business' long position.

The idea behind Lake Shore Bancorp and First Business Financial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.