Correlation Between Coffee and US Dollar

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Coffee and US Dollar at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Coffee and US Dollar into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Coffee and US Dollar, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Coffee and US Dollar and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Coffee with a short position of US Dollar. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Coffee and US Dollar.

Diversification Opportunities for Coffee and US Dollar

-0.55

Correlation Coefficient

Coffee  US Dollar

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Coffee and DXUSD is -0.55. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Coffee and US Dollar in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on US Dollar and Coffee is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Coffee are associated (or correlated) with US Dollar. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of US Dollar has no effect on the direction of Coffee i.e., Coffee and US Dollar go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Coffee and US Dollar

Assuming the 90 days horizon Coffee is expected to generate 4.88 times more return on investment than US Dollar. However, Coffee is 4.88 times more volatile than US Dollar. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. US Dollar is currently generating about -0.13 per unit of risk. If you would invest  32,725  in Coffee on December 22, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  6,290  from holding Coffee or generate 19.22% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	98.46%
Values	Daily Returns

Coffee  vs.  US Dollar

Coffee

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Coffee are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unsteady basic indicators, Coffee showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

US Dollar

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days US Dollar has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, US Dollar is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Pair Trading with Coffee and US Dollar

The main advantage of trading using opposite Coffee and US Dollar positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Coffee position performs unexpectedly, US Dollar can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in US Dollar will offset losses from the drop in US Dollar's long position.

The idea behind Coffee and US Dollar pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.