Correlation Between Oat Futures and US Dollar

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Oat Futures and US Dollar at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Oat Futures and US Dollar into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Oat Futures and US Dollar, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Oat Futures and US Dollar and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Oat Futures with a short position of US Dollar. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Oat Futures and US Dollar.

Diversification Opportunities for Oat Futures and US Dollar

-0.59

Correlation Coefficient

Oat Futures  US Dollar

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Oat and DXUSD is -0.59. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Oat Futures and US Dollar in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on US Dollar and Oat Futures is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Oat Futures are associated (or correlated) with US Dollar. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of US Dollar has no effect on the direction of Oat Futures i.e., Oat Futures and US Dollar go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Oat Futures and US Dollar

Assuming the 90 days horizon Oat Futures is expected to generate 4.17 times more return on investment than US Dollar. However, Oat Futures is 4.17 times more volatile than US Dollar. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. US Dollar is currently generating about -0.13 per unit of risk. If you would invest  32,400  in Oat Futures on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,300  from holding Oat Futures or generate 10.19% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Oat Futures  vs.  US Dollar

Oat Futures

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Oat Futures are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unsteady basic indicators, Oat Futures may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

US Dollar

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days US Dollar has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, US Dollar is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Pair Trading with Oat Futures and US Dollar

The main advantage of trading using opposite Oat Futures and US Dollar positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Oat Futures position performs unexpectedly, US Dollar can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in US Dollar will offset losses from the drop in US Dollar's long position.

The idea behind Oat Futures and US Dollar pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.