Correlation Between Heineken and Carlsberg

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Heineken and Carlsberg at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Heineken and Carlsberg into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Heineken NV and Carlsberg AS, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Heineken and Carlsberg and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Heineken with a short position of Carlsberg. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Heineken and Carlsberg.

Diversification Opportunities for Heineken and Carlsberg

0.91
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Heineken and Carlsberg is 0.91. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Heineken NV and Carlsberg AS in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Carlsberg AS and Heineken is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Heineken NV are associated (or correlated) with Carlsberg. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Carlsberg AS has no effect on the direction of Heineken i.e., Heineken and Carlsberg go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Heineken and Carlsberg

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Heineken NV is expected to under-perform the Carlsberg. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Heineken NV is 1.85 times less risky than Carlsberg. The stock trades about -0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Carlsberg AS is currently generating about 0.02 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  10,083  in Carlsberg AS on September 26, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  867.00  from holding Carlsberg AS or generate 8.6% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Heineken NV  vs.  Carlsberg AS

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Heineken NV 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Heineken NV has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.
Carlsberg AS 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Carlsberg AS has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.

Heineken and Carlsberg Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Heineken and Carlsberg

The main advantage of trading using opposite Heineken and Carlsberg positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Heineken position performs unexpectedly, Carlsberg can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Carlsberg will offset losses from the drop in Carlsberg's long position.
The idea behind Heineken NV and Carlsberg AS pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.

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