Correlation Between Harmony Gold and Centerra Gold

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Harmony Gold and Centerra Gold at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Harmony Gold and Centerra Gold into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Harmony Gold Mining and Centerra Gold, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Harmony Gold and Centerra Gold and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Harmony Gold with a short position of Centerra Gold. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Harmony Gold and Centerra Gold.

Diversification Opportunities for Harmony Gold and Centerra Gold

0.84
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Harmony and Centerra is 0.84. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Harmony Gold Mining and Centerra Gold in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Centerra Gold and Harmony Gold is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Harmony Gold Mining are associated (or correlated) with Centerra Gold. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Centerra Gold has no effect on the direction of Harmony Gold i.e., Harmony Gold and Centerra Gold go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Harmony Gold and Centerra Gold

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Harmony Gold Mining is expected to under-perform the Centerra Gold. In addition to that, Harmony Gold is 1.24 times more volatile than Centerra Gold. It trades about -0.15 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Centerra Gold is currently generating about -0.1 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  596.00  in Centerra Gold on September 24, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (27.00) from holding Centerra Gold or give up 4.53% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy95.24%
ValuesDaily Returns

Harmony Gold Mining  vs.  Centerra Gold

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Harmony Gold Mining 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Harmony Gold Mining has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's primary indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.
Centerra Gold 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Centerra Gold has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors.

Harmony Gold and Centerra Gold Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Harmony Gold and Centerra Gold

The main advantage of trading using opposite Harmony Gold and Centerra Gold positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Harmony Gold position performs unexpectedly, Centerra Gold can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Centerra Gold will offset losses from the drop in Centerra Gold's long position.
The idea behind Harmony Gold Mining and Centerra Gold pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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