Correlation Between Hero Supermarket and Provident Agro

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Hero Supermarket and Provident Agro at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Hero Supermarket and Provident Agro into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Hero Supermarket Tbk and Provident Agro Tbk, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Hero Supermarket and Provident Agro and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Hero Supermarket with a short position of Provident Agro. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Hero Supermarket and Provident Agro.

Diversification Opportunities for Hero Supermarket and Provident Agro

0.21
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Hero and Provident is 0.21. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Hero Supermarket Tbk and Provident Agro Tbk in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Provident Agro Tbk and Hero Supermarket is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Hero Supermarket Tbk are associated (or correlated) with Provident Agro. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Provident Agro Tbk has no effect on the direction of Hero Supermarket i.e., Hero Supermarket and Provident Agro go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Hero Supermarket and Provident Agro

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hero Supermarket Tbk is expected to under-perform the Provident Agro. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Hero Supermarket Tbk is 1.11 times less risky than Provident Agro. The stock trades about -0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Provident Agro Tbk is currently generating about 0.0 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  43,800  in Provident Agro Tbk on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (800.00) from holding Provident Agro Tbk or give up 1.83% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Hero Supermarket Tbk  vs.  Provident Agro Tbk

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Hero Supermarket Tbk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Hero Supermarket Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.
Provident Agro Tbk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Provident Agro Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent forward-looking signals, Provident Agro is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.

Hero Supermarket and Provident Agro Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Hero Supermarket and Provident Agro

The main advantage of trading using opposite Hero Supermarket and Provident Agro positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Hero Supermarket position performs unexpectedly, Provident Agro can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Provident Agro will offset losses from the drop in Provident Agro's long position.
The idea behind Hero Supermarket Tbk and Provident Agro Tbk pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.

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