Correlation Between First Watch and Norwegian Cruise

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Watch and Norwegian Cruise at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Watch and Norwegian Cruise into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Watch Restaurant and Norwegian Cruise Line, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Watch and Norwegian Cruise and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Watch with a short position of Norwegian Cruise. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Watch and Norwegian Cruise.

Diversification Opportunities for First Watch and Norwegian Cruise

0.77
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Norwegian is 0.77. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Watch Restaurant and Norwegian Cruise Line in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Norwegian Cruise Line and First Watch is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Watch Restaurant are associated (or correlated) with Norwegian Cruise. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Norwegian Cruise Line has no effect on the direction of First Watch i.e., First Watch and Norwegian Cruise go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Watch and Norwegian Cruise

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Watch Restaurant is expected to generate 1.11 times more return on investment than Norwegian Cruise. However, First Watch is 1.11 times more volatile than Norwegian Cruise Line. It trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Norwegian Cruise Line is currently generating about -0.16 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,853  in First Watch Restaurant on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (167.00) from holding First Watch Restaurant or give up 9.01% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Watch Restaurant  vs.  Norwegian Cruise Line

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Watch Restaurant 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Watch Restaurant has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders.
Norwegian Cruise Line 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Norwegian Cruise Line has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders.

First Watch and Norwegian Cruise Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Watch and Norwegian Cruise

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Watch and Norwegian Cruise positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Watch position performs unexpectedly, Norwegian Cruise can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Norwegian Cruise will offset losses from the drop in Norwegian Cruise's long position.
The idea behind First Watch Restaurant and Norwegian Cruise Line pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

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