Correlation Between First Merchants and Home Federal

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Merchants and Home Federal at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Merchants and Home Federal into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Merchants and Home Federal Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Merchants and Home Federal and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Merchants with a short position of Home Federal. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Merchants and Home Federal.

Diversification Opportunities for First Merchants and Home Federal

-0.05

Correlation Coefficient

First Merchants  Home Federal

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Home is -0.05. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Merchants and Home Federal Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Home Federal Bancorp and First Merchants is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Merchants are associated (or correlated) with Home Federal. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Home Federal Bancorp has no effect on the direction of First Merchants i.e., First Merchants and Home Federal go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Merchants and Home Federal

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Merchants is expected to generate 24.86 times less return on investment than Home Federal. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, First Merchants is 30.47 times less risky than Home Federal. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Home Federal Bancorp is currently generating about 0.06 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,248  in Home Federal Bancorp on September 23, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  41.00  from holding Home Federal Bancorp or generate 3.29% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	90.37%
Values	Daily Returns

First Merchants  vs.  Home Federal Bancorp

First Merchants

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Merchants are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather conflicting primary indicators, First Merchants may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Home Federal Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

Weak

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Home Federal Bancorp are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite persistent fundamental drivers, Home Federal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.

Pair Trading with First Merchants and Home Federal

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Merchants and Home Federal positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Merchants position performs unexpectedly, Home Federal can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Home Federal will offset losses from the drop in Home Federal's long position.

The idea behind First Merchants and Home Federal Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.