Correlation Between Forestar and AMREP

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Forestar and AMREP at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Forestar and AMREP into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Forestar Group and AMREP, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Forestar and AMREP and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Forestar with a short position of AMREP. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Forestar and AMREP.

Diversification Opportunities for Forestar and AMREP

-0.18
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Forestar and AMREP is -0.18. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Forestar Group and AMREP in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on AMREP and Forestar is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Forestar Group are associated (or correlated) with AMREP. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of AMREP has no effect on the direction of Forestar i.e., Forestar and AMREP go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Forestar and AMREP

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Forestar is expected to generate 32.85 times less return on investment than AMREP. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Forestar Group is 2.31 times less risky than AMREP. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. AMREP is currently generating about 0.21 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,210  in AMREP on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,394  from holding AMREP or generate 63.08% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Forestar Group  vs.  AMREP

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Forestar Group 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

1 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Forestar Group are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, Forestar is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.
AMREP 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

16 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in AMREP are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively weak basic indicators, AMREP reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Forestar and AMREP Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Forestar and AMREP

The main advantage of trading using opposite Forestar and AMREP positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Forestar position performs unexpectedly, AMREP can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AMREP will offset losses from the drop in AMREP's long position.
The idea behind Forestar Group and AMREP pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

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