Correlation Between Farmers National and First Merchants

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Farmers National and First Merchants at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Farmers National and First Merchants into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Farmers National Banc and First Merchants, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Farmers National and First Merchants and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Farmers National with a short position of First Merchants. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Farmers National and First Merchants.

Diversification Opportunities for Farmers National and First Merchants

0.58

Correlation Coefficient

Farmers National  First Merchants

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Farmers and First is 0.58. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Farmers National Banc and First Merchants in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Merchants and Farmers National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Farmers National Banc are associated (or correlated) with First Merchants. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Merchants has no effect on the direction of Farmers National i.e., Farmers National and First Merchants go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Farmers National and First Merchants

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Farmers National Banc is expected to under-perform the First Merchants. In addition to that, Farmers National is 1.03 times more volatile than First Merchants. It trades about -0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. First Merchants is currently generating about 0.02 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  4,334  in First Merchants on December 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  46.00  from holding First Merchants or generate 1.06% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Farmers National Banc  vs.  First Merchants

Farmers National Banc

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Farmers National Banc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest conflicting performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors.

First Merchants

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Merchants are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound primary indicators, First Merchants is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Pair Trading with Farmers National and First Merchants

The main advantage of trading using opposite Farmers National and First Merchants positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Farmers National position performs unexpectedly, First Merchants can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Merchants will offset losses from the drop in First Merchants' long position.

The idea behind Farmers National Banc and First Merchants pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.