Correlation Between First Guaranty and HomeTrust Bancshares

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Guaranty and HomeTrust Bancshares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Guaranty and HomeTrust Bancshares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Guaranty Bancshares and HomeTrust Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Guaranty and HomeTrust Bancshares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Guaranty with a short position of HomeTrust Bancshares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Guaranty and HomeTrust Bancshares.

Diversification Opportunities for First Guaranty and HomeTrust Bancshares

0.74
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and HomeTrust is 0.74. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Guaranty Bancshares and HomeTrust Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on HomeTrust Bancshares and First Guaranty is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Guaranty Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with HomeTrust Bancshares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of HomeTrust Bancshares has no effect on the direction of First Guaranty i.e., First Guaranty and HomeTrust Bancshares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Guaranty and HomeTrust Bancshares

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Guaranty is expected to generate 2.81 times less return on investment than HomeTrust Bancshares. In addition to that, First Guaranty is 1.12 times more volatile than HomeTrust Bancshares. It trades about 0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. HomeTrust Bancshares is currently generating about 0.09 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,083  in HomeTrust Bancshares on September 26, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,330  from holding HomeTrust Bancshares or generate 63.85% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Guaranty Bancshares  vs.  HomeTrust Bancshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Guaranty Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Guaranty Bancshares are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly unsteady fundamental drivers, First Guaranty may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
HomeTrust Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

1 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in HomeTrust Bancshares are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly strong fundamental drivers, HomeTrust Bancshares is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.

First Guaranty and HomeTrust Bancshares Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Guaranty and HomeTrust Bancshares

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Guaranty and HomeTrust Bancshares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Guaranty position performs unexpectedly, HomeTrust Bancshares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in HomeTrust Bancshares will offset losses from the drop in HomeTrust Bancshares' long position.
The idea behind First Guaranty Bancshares and HomeTrust Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

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