Correlation Between First Guaranty and First Interstate

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Guaranty and First Interstate at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Guaranty and First Interstate into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Guaranty Bancshares and First Interstate BancSystem, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Guaranty and First Interstate and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Guaranty with a short position of First Interstate. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Guaranty and First Interstate.

Diversification Opportunities for First Guaranty and First Interstate

0.84

Correlation Coefficient

First Guaranty  First Interstate

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and First is 0.84. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Guaranty Bancshares and First Interstate BancSystem in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Interstate Ban and First Guaranty is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Guaranty Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with First Interstate. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Interstate Ban has no effect on the direction of First Guaranty i.e., First Guaranty and First Interstate go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Guaranty and First Interstate

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Guaranty Bancshares is expected to under-perform the First Interstate. In addition to that, First Guaranty is 2.03 times more volatile than First Interstate BancSystem. It trades about -0.17 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. First Interstate BancSystem is currently generating about -0.08 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  3,205  in First Interstate BancSystem on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (295.00) from holding First Interstate BancSystem or give up 9.2% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

First Guaranty Bancshares  vs.  First Interstate BancSystem

First Guaranty Bancshares

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days First Guaranty Bancshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders.

First Interstate Ban

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days First Interstate BancSystem has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest unfluctuating performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain persistent and the latest mess on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-standing gains for the company institutional investors.

Pair Trading with First Guaranty and First Interstate

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Guaranty and First Interstate positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Guaranty position performs unexpectedly, First Interstate can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Interstate will offset losses from the drop in First Interstate's long position.

The idea behind First Guaranty Bancshares and First Interstate BancSystem pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.