Correlation Between First Commonwealth and ST Bancorp

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Commonwealth and ST Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Commonwealth and ST Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Commonwealth Financial and ST Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Commonwealth and ST Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Commonwealth with a short position of ST Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Commonwealth and ST Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for First Commonwealth and ST Bancorp

0.87

Correlation Coefficient

First Commonwealth  ST Bancorp

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and STBA is 0.87. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Commonwealth Financial and ST Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ST Bancorp and First Commonwealth is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Commonwealth Financial are associated (or correlated) with ST Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ST Bancorp has no effect on the direction of First Commonwealth i.e., First Commonwealth and ST Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Commonwealth and ST Bancorp

Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Commonwealth Financial is expected to under-perform the ST Bancorp. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, First Commonwealth Financial is 1.01 times less risky than ST Bancorp. The stock trades about -0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The ST Bancorp is currently generating about -0.06 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  4,242  in ST Bancorp on November 29, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (292.00) from holding ST Bancorp or give up 6.88% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

First Commonwealth Financial  vs.  ST Bancorp

First Commonwealth

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days First Commonwealth Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.

ST Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days ST Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors.

Pair Trading with First Commonwealth and ST Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Commonwealth and ST Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Commonwealth position performs unexpectedly, ST Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ST Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in ST Bancorp's long position.

The idea behind First Commonwealth Financial and ST Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.