Correlation Between Elfun Trusts and Ardagh

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Elfun Trusts and Ardagh at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Elfun Trusts and Ardagh into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Elfun Trusts Elfun and Ardagh Packaging Finance, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Elfun Trusts and Ardagh and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Elfun Trusts with a short position of Ardagh. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Elfun Trusts and Ardagh.

Diversification Opportunities for Elfun Trusts and Ardagh

0.55
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Elfun and Ardagh is 0.55. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Elfun Trusts Elfun and Ardagh Packaging Finance in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ardagh Packaging Finance and Elfun Trusts is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Elfun Trusts Elfun are associated (or correlated) with Ardagh. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ardagh Packaging Finance has no effect on the direction of Elfun Trusts i.e., Elfun Trusts and Ardagh go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Elfun Trusts and Ardagh

Assuming the 90 days horizon Elfun Trusts Elfun is expected to under-perform the Ardagh. But the mutual fund apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Elfun Trusts Elfun is 5.69 times less risky than Ardagh. The mutual fund trades about -0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Ardagh Packaging Finance is currently generating about 0.11 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  5,900  in Ardagh Packaging Finance on December 4, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,125  from holding Ardagh Packaging Finance or generate 19.07% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy41.67%
ValuesDaily Returns

Elfun Trusts Elfun  vs.  Ardagh Packaging Finance

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Elfun Trusts Elfun 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Elfun Trusts Elfun has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Fund's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the fund investors.
Ardagh Packaging Finance 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ardagh Packaging Finance are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, Ardagh sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Elfun Trusts and Ardagh Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Elfun Trusts and Ardagh

The main advantage of trading using opposite Elfun Trusts and Ardagh positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Elfun Trusts position performs unexpectedly, Ardagh can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ardagh will offset losses from the drop in Ardagh's long position.
The idea behind Elfun Trusts Elfun and Ardagh Packaging Finance pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.

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