Correlation Between Silver Futures and Cocoa

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Silver Futures and Cocoa at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Silver Futures and Cocoa into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Silver Futures and Cocoa, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Silver Futures and Cocoa and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Silver Futures with a short position of Cocoa. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Silver Futures and Cocoa.

Diversification Opportunities for Silver Futures and Cocoa

-0.77
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Silver and Cocoa is -0.77. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Silver Futures and Cocoa in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Cocoa and Silver Futures is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Silver Futures are associated (or correlated) with Cocoa. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Cocoa has no effect on the direction of Silver Futures i.e., Silver Futures and Cocoa go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Silver Futures and Cocoa

Assuming the 90 days horizon Silver Futures is expected to generate 0.45 times more return on investment than Cocoa. However, Silver Futures is 2.22 times less risky than Cocoa. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Cocoa is currently generating about -0.16 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,941  in Silver Futures on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  591.00  from holding Silver Futures or generate 20.1% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Silver Futures  vs.  Cocoa

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Silver Futures 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Silver Futures are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, Silver Futures exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Cocoa 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Cocoa has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Commodity's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for Cocoa shareholders.

Silver Futures and Cocoa Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Silver Futures and Cocoa

The main advantage of trading using opposite Silver Futures and Cocoa positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Silver Futures position performs unexpectedly, Cocoa can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cocoa will offset losses from the drop in Cocoa's long position.
The idea behind Silver Futures and Cocoa pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

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