Correlation Between Contango ORE and First Guaranty

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Contango ORE and First Guaranty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Contango ORE and First Guaranty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Contango ORE and First Guaranty Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Contango ORE and First Guaranty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Contango ORE with a short position of First Guaranty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Contango ORE and First Guaranty.

Diversification Opportunities for Contango ORE and First Guaranty

-0.57
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Contango and First is -0.57. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Contango ORE and First Guaranty Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Guaranty Bancshares and Contango ORE is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Contango ORE are associated (or correlated) with First Guaranty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Guaranty Bancshares has no effect on the direction of Contango ORE i.e., Contango ORE and First Guaranty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Contango ORE and First Guaranty

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Contango ORE is expected to under-perform the First Guaranty. In addition to that, Contango ORE is 2.09 times more volatile than First Guaranty Bancshares. It trades about -0.19 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. First Guaranty Bancshares is currently generating about 0.03 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,046  in First Guaranty Bancshares on October 10, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  23.00  from holding First Guaranty Bancshares or generate 2.2% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Contango ORE  vs.  First Guaranty Bancshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Contango ORE 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Contango ORE has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in February 2025. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors.
First Guaranty Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Guaranty Bancshares are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly strong fundamental drivers, First Guaranty is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.

Contango ORE and First Guaranty Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Contango ORE and First Guaranty

The main advantage of trading using opposite Contango ORE and First Guaranty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Contango ORE position performs unexpectedly, First Guaranty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Guaranty will offset losses from the drop in First Guaranty's long position.
The idea behind Contango ORE and First Guaranty Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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