Correlation Between Civista Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Civista Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Civista Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Civista Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Civista Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Civista Bancshares with a short position of ESSA Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Civista Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for Civista Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp

0.82
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Civista and ESSA is 0.82. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Civista Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ESSA Bancorp and Civista Bancshares is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Civista Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with ESSA Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ESSA Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Civista Bancshares i.e., Civista Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Civista Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Civista Bancshares is expected to generate 0.86 times more return on investment than ESSA Bancorp. However, Civista Bancshares is 1.16 times less risky than ESSA Bancorp. It trades about 0.25 of its potential returns per unit of risk. ESSA Bancorp is currently generating about 0.12 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,677  in Civista Bancshares on September 4, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  605.00  from holding Civista Bancshares or generate 36.08% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Civista Bancshares  vs.  ESSA Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Civista Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

19 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Civista Bancshares are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat fragile basic indicators, Civista Bancshares sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
ESSA Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ESSA Bancorp are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat unsteady basic indicators, ESSA Bancorp sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Civista Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Civista Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite Civista Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Civista Bancshares position performs unexpectedly, ESSA Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ESSA Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in ESSA Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind Civista Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

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