Correlation Between Chevron and National Fuel

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Chevron and National Fuel at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Chevron and National Fuel into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Chevron and National Fuel Gas, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Chevron and National Fuel and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Chevron with a short position of National Fuel. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Chevron and National Fuel.

Diversification Opportunities for Chevron and National Fuel

0.66

Correlation Coefficient

Chevron  National Fuel

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Chevron and National is 0.66. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Chevron and National Fuel Gas in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on National Fuel Gas and Chevron is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Chevron are associated (or correlated) with National Fuel. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of National Fuel Gas has no effect on the direction of Chevron i.e., Chevron and National Fuel go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Chevron and National Fuel

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Chevron is expected to generate 1.48 times less return on investment than National Fuel. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Chevron is 1.26 times less risky than National Fuel. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. National Fuel Gas is currently generating about 0.16 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  5,700  in National Fuel Gas on October 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  950.00  from holding National Fuel Gas or generate 16.67% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	98.33%
Values	Daily Returns

Chevron  vs.  National Fuel Gas

Chevron

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Chevron are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively fragile basic indicators, Chevron may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2025.

National Fuel Gas

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Fuel Gas are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly uncertain basic indicators, National Fuel reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Chevron and National Fuel

The main advantage of trading using opposite Chevron and National Fuel positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Chevron position performs unexpectedly, National Fuel can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in National Fuel will offset losses from the drop in National Fuel's long position.

The idea behind Chevron and National Fuel Gas pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.