Correlation Between Commercial National and Home Federal

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Commercial National and Home Federal at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Commercial National and Home Federal into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Commercial National Financial and Home Federal Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Commercial National and Home Federal and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Commercial National with a short position of Home Federal. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Commercial National and Home Federal.

Diversification Opportunities for Commercial National and Home Federal

0.4

Correlation Coefficient

Commercial National  Home Federal

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Commercial and Home is 0.4. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Commercial National Financial and Home Federal Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Home Federal Bancorp and Commercial National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Commercial National Financial are associated (or correlated) with Home Federal. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Home Federal Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Commercial National i.e., Commercial National and Home Federal go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Commercial National and Home Federal

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Commercial National Financial is expected to generate 0.85 times more return on investment than Home Federal. However, Commercial National Financial is 1.18 times less risky than Home Federal. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Home Federal Bancorp is currently generating about 0.05 per unit of risk. If you would invest  967.00  in Commercial National Financial on October 6, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  33.00  from holding Commercial National Financial or generate 3.41% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	95.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Commercial National Financial  vs.  Home Federal Bancorp

Commercial National

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Commercial National Financial are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unfluctuating technical and fundamental indicators, Commercial National may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2025.

Home Federal Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

Weak

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Home Federal Bancorp are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite persistent fundamental drivers, Home Federal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.

Pair Trading with Commercial National and Home Federal

The main advantage of trading using opposite Commercial National and Home Federal positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Commercial National position performs unexpectedly, Home Federal can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Home Federal will offset losses from the drop in Home Federal's long position.

The idea behind Commercial National Financial and Home Federal Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.