Correlation Between Cocoa and Class III

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Cocoa and Class III at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Cocoa and Class III into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Cocoa and Class III Milk, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Cocoa and Class III and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Cocoa with a short position of Class III. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Cocoa and Class III.

Diversification Opportunities for Cocoa and Class III

0.83
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Cocoa and Class is 0.83. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cocoa and Class III Milk in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Class III Milk and Cocoa is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Cocoa are associated (or correlated) with Class III. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Class III Milk has no effect on the direction of Cocoa i.e., Cocoa and Class III go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Cocoa and Class III

Assuming the 90 days horizon Cocoa is expected to under-perform the Class III. In addition to that, Cocoa is 2.01 times more volatile than Class III Milk. It trades about -0.15 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Class III Milk is currently generating about -0.16 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,043  in Class III Milk on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (326.00) from holding Class III Milk or give up 15.96% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Cocoa  vs.  Class III Milk

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Cocoa 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Cocoa has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Commodity's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for Cocoa shareholders.
Class III Milk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Class III Milk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Commodity's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for Class III Milk shareholders.

Cocoa and Class III Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Cocoa and Class III

The main advantage of trading using opposite Cocoa and Class III positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Cocoa position performs unexpectedly, Class III can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Class III will offset losses from the drop in Class III's long position.
The idea behind Cocoa and Class III Milk pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

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