Correlation Between Blackbaud and Aspen Technology

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Blackbaud and Aspen Technology at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Blackbaud and Aspen Technology into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Blackbaud and Aspen Technology, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Blackbaud and Aspen Technology and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Blackbaud with a short position of Aspen Technology. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Blackbaud and Aspen Technology.

Diversification Opportunities for Blackbaud and Aspen Technology

-0.77
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Blackbaud and Aspen is -0.77. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Blackbaud and Aspen Technology in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Aspen Technology and Blackbaud is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Blackbaud are associated (or correlated) with Aspen Technology. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Aspen Technology has no effect on the direction of Blackbaud i.e., Blackbaud and Aspen Technology go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Blackbaud and Aspen Technology

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Blackbaud is expected to under-perform the Aspen Technology. In addition to that, Blackbaud is 2.22 times more volatile than Aspen Technology. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Aspen Technology is currently generating about 0.14 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  24,895  in Aspen Technology on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,538  from holding Aspen Technology or generate 6.18% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy80.65%
ValuesDaily Returns

Blackbaud  vs.  Aspen Technology

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Blackbaud 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Blackbaud has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite abnormal performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.
Aspen Technology 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Aspen Technology has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very weak basic indicators, Aspen Technology may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Blackbaud and Aspen Technology Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Blackbaud and Aspen Technology

The main advantage of trading using opposite Blackbaud and Aspen Technology positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Blackbaud position performs unexpectedly, Aspen Technology can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Aspen Technology will offset losses from the drop in Aspen Technology's long position.
The idea behind Blackbaud and Aspen Technology pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

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