Correlation Between Black Hills and NorthWestern

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Black Hills and NorthWestern at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Black Hills and NorthWestern into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Black Hills and NorthWestern, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Black Hills and NorthWestern and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Black Hills with a short position of NorthWestern. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Black Hills and NorthWestern.

Diversification Opportunities for Black Hills and NorthWestern

0.81
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Black and NorthWestern is 0.81. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Black Hills and NorthWestern in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on NorthWestern and Black Hills is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Black Hills are associated (or correlated) with NorthWestern. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of NorthWestern has no effect on the direction of Black Hills i.e., Black Hills and NorthWestern go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Black Hills and NorthWestern

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Black Hills is expected to generate 1.73 times less return on investment than NorthWestern. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Black Hills is 1.03 times less risky than NorthWestern. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. NorthWestern is currently generating about 0.09 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  5,292  in NorthWestern on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  388.00  from holding NorthWestern or generate 7.33% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Black Hills  vs.  NorthWestern

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Black Hills 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Black Hills are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly strong forward-looking signals, Black Hills is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.
NorthWestern 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in NorthWestern are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, NorthWestern may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Black Hills and NorthWestern Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Black Hills and NorthWestern

The main advantage of trading using opposite Black Hills and NorthWestern positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Black Hills position performs unexpectedly, NorthWestern can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in NorthWestern will offset losses from the drop in NorthWestern's long position.
The idea behind Black Hills and NorthWestern pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

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