Correlation Between Business First and Merchants Bancorp

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Business First and Merchants Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Business First and Merchants Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Business First Bancshares and Merchants Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Business First and Merchants Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Business First with a short position of Merchants Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Business First and Merchants Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for Business First and Merchants Bancorp

0.85

Correlation Coefficient

Business First  Merchants Bancorp

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Business and Merchants is 0.85. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Business First Bancshares and Merchants Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Merchants Bancorp and Business First is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Business First Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with Merchants Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Merchants Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Business First i.e., Business First and Merchants Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Business First and Merchants Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Business First Bancshares is expected to under-perform the Merchants Bancorp. In addition to that, Business First is 1.01 times more volatile than Merchants Bancorp. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Merchants Bancorp is currently generating about 0.03 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  3,632  in Merchants Bancorp on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  72.00  from holding Merchants Bancorp or generate 1.98% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Business First Bancshares  vs.  Merchants Bancorp

Business First Bancshares

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Business First Bancshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Business First is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.

Merchants Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Merchants Bancorp are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy forward indicators, Merchants Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Business First and Merchants Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite Business First and Merchants Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Business First position performs unexpectedly, Merchants Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Merchants Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in Merchants Bancorp's long position.

The idea behind Business First Bancshares and Merchants Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.