Correlation Between PT Astra and Telkom Indonesia

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both PT Astra and Telkom Indonesia at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining PT Astra and Telkom Indonesia into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between PT Astra International and Telkom Indonesia Tbk, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on PT Astra and Telkom Indonesia and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in PT Astra with a short position of Telkom Indonesia. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of PT Astra and Telkom Indonesia.

Diversification Opportunities for PT Astra and Telkom Indonesia

0.55
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between ASJA and Telkom is 0.55. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding PT Astra International and Telkom Indonesia Tbk in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Telkom Indonesia Tbk and PT Astra is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on PT Astra International are associated (or correlated) with Telkom Indonesia. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Telkom Indonesia Tbk has no effect on the direction of PT Astra i.e., PT Astra and Telkom Indonesia go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between PT Astra and Telkom Indonesia

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PT Astra International is expected to under-perform the Telkom Indonesia. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, PT Astra International is 1.77 times less risky than Telkom Indonesia. The stock trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Telkom Indonesia Tbk is currently generating about 0.01 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  17.00  in Telkom Indonesia Tbk on December 21, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (3.00) from holding Telkom Indonesia Tbk or give up 17.65% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

PT Astra International  vs.  Telkom Indonesia Tbk

 Performance 
       Timeline  
PT Astra International 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days PT Astra International has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest fragile performance, the Stock's forward-looking indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders.
Telkom Indonesia Tbk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Telkom Indonesia Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable forward indicators, Telkom Indonesia is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

PT Astra and Telkom Indonesia Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with PT Astra and Telkom Indonesia

The main advantage of trading using opposite PT Astra and Telkom Indonesia positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if PT Astra position performs unexpectedly, Telkom Indonesia can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Telkom Indonesia will offset losses from the drop in Telkom Indonesia's long position.
The idea behind PT Astra International and Telkom Indonesia Tbk pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

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