Telkom Indonesia (Germany) Market Value
| TCID Stock | EUR 0.17 0.02 13.33% |
| Symbol | Telkom |
Telkom Indonesia 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Telkom Indonesia's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Telkom Indonesia.
| 06/02/2024 |
| 11/29/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Telkom Indonesia on June 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Telkom Indonesia Tbk or generate 0.0% return on investment in Telkom Indonesia over 180 days. Telkom Indonesia is related to or competes with Westinghouse Air, Altair Engineering, Ryanair Holdings, XLMedia PLC, Live Nation, Dave Busters, and ALERION CLEANPOWER. Perusahaan Perseroan PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk provides telecommunications, information, and media and edutainment... More
Telkom Indonesia Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Telkom Indonesia's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Telkom Indonesia Tbk upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 12.6 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 28.29 | |||
| Value At Risk | (12.50) | |||
| Potential Upside | 11.76 |
Telkom Indonesia Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Telkom Indonesia's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Telkom Indonesia's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Telkom Indonesia historical prices to predict the future Telkom Indonesia's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0182 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0974 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.78) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.18) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Telkom Indonesia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Telkom Indonesia Tbk Backtested Returns
At this point, Telkom Indonesia is out of control. Telkom Indonesia Tbk owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0127, which indicates the firm had a 0.0127% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Telkom Indonesia Tbk, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Telkom Indonesia's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0182, coefficient of variation of 8004.57, and Semi Deviation of 4.53 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0715%. Telkom Indonesia has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of -0.33, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Telkom Indonesia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Telkom Indonesia is likely to outperform the market. Telkom Indonesia Tbk right now has a risk of 5.64%. Please validate Telkom Indonesia sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Telkom Indonesia will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.02 |
Virtually no predictability
Telkom Indonesia Tbk has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Telkom Indonesia time series from 2nd of June 2024 to 31st of August 2024 and 31st of August 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Telkom Indonesia Tbk price movement. The serial correlation of 0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Telkom Indonesia price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.02 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.53 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Telkom Indonesia Tbk lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Telkom Indonesia stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Telkom Indonesia's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Telkom Indonesia returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Telkom Indonesia has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Telkom Indonesia regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Telkom Indonesia stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Telkom Indonesia stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Telkom Indonesia stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Telkom Indonesia Lagged Returns
When evaluating Telkom Indonesia's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Telkom Indonesia stock have on its future price. Telkom Indonesia autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Telkom Indonesia autocorrelation shows the relationship between Telkom Indonesia stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Telkom Indonesia Tbk.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Telkom Stock
When determining whether Telkom Indonesia Tbk is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Telkom Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Telkom Indonesia Tbk Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Telkom Indonesia Tbk Stock:Check out Telkom Indonesia Correlation, Telkom Indonesia Volatility and Telkom Indonesia Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Telkom Indonesia. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Telkom Indonesia technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.