Correlation Between Assured Guaranty and MGIC Investment

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Assured Guaranty and MGIC Investment at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Assured Guaranty and MGIC Investment into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Assured Guaranty and MGIC Investment Corp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Assured Guaranty and MGIC Investment and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Assured Guaranty with a short position of MGIC Investment. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Assured Guaranty and MGIC Investment.

Diversification Opportunities for Assured Guaranty and MGIC Investment

0.78

Correlation Coefficient

Assured Guaranty  MGIC Investment

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Assured and MGIC is 0.78. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Assured Guaranty and MGIC Investment Corp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on MGIC Investment Corp and Assured Guaranty is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Assured Guaranty are associated (or correlated) with MGIC Investment. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of MGIC Investment Corp has no effect on the direction of Assured Guaranty i.e., Assured Guaranty and MGIC Investment go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Assured Guaranty and MGIC Investment

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Assured Guaranty is expected to generate 11.75 times less return on investment than MGIC Investment. In addition to that, Assured Guaranty is 1.12 times more volatile than MGIC Investment Corp. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. MGIC Investment Corp is currently generating about 0.07 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,353  in MGIC Investment Corp on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  121.00  from holding MGIC Investment Corp or generate 5.14% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Assured Guaranty  vs.  MGIC Investment Corp

Assured Guaranty

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Assured Guaranty has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy technical and fundamental indicators, Assured Guaranty is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

MGIC Investment Corp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in MGIC Investment Corp are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, MGIC Investment is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

Pair Trading with Assured Guaranty and MGIC Investment

The main advantage of trading using opposite Assured Guaranty and MGIC Investment positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Assured Guaranty position performs unexpectedly, MGIC Investment can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in MGIC Investment will offset losses from the drop in MGIC Investment's long position.

The idea behind Assured Guaranty and MGIC Investment Corp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.