Correlation Between AmTrust Financial and Direct Line

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both AmTrust Financial and Direct Line at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining AmTrust Financial and Direct Line into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between AmTrust Financial Services and Direct Line Insurance, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on AmTrust Financial and Direct Line and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in AmTrust Financial with a short position of Direct Line. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of AmTrust Financial and Direct Line.

Diversification Opportunities for AmTrust Financial and Direct Line

0.3

Correlation Coefficient

AmTrust Financial  Direct Line

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between AmTrust and Direct is 0.3. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding AmTrust Financial Services and Direct Line Insurance in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Direct Line Insurance and AmTrust Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on AmTrust Financial Services are associated (or correlated) with Direct Line. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Direct Line Insurance has no effect on the direction of AmTrust Financial i.e., AmTrust Financial and Direct Line go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between AmTrust Financial and Direct Line

Assuming the 90 days horizon AmTrust Financial is expected to generate 1.26 times less return on investment than Direct Line. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, AmTrust Financial Services is 1.25 times less risky than Direct Line. It trades about 0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Direct Line Insurance is currently generating about 0.02 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,075  in Direct Line Insurance on September 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  137.00  from holding Direct Line Insurance or generate 12.74% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	94.77%
Values	Daily Returns

AmTrust Financial Services  vs.  Direct Line Insurance

AmTrust Financial

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

Weak

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in AmTrust Financial Services are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively invariable forward indicators, AmTrust Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

Direct Line Insurance

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Direct Line Insurance are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly uncertain basic indicators, Direct Line showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with AmTrust Financial and Direct Line

The main advantage of trading using opposite AmTrust Financial and Direct Line positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if AmTrust Financial position performs unexpectedly, Direct Line can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Direct Line will offset losses from the drop in Direct Line's long position.

The idea behind AmTrust Financial Services and Direct Line Insurance pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.