Correlation Between American Financial and Palomar Holdings

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both American Financial and Palomar Holdings at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining American Financial and Palomar Holdings into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between American Financial Group and Palomar Holdings, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on American Financial and Palomar Holdings and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in American Financial with a short position of Palomar Holdings. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of American Financial and Palomar Holdings.

Diversification Opportunities for American Financial and Palomar Holdings

-0.66
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between American and Palomar is -0.66. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding American Financial Group and Palomar Holdings in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Palomar Holdings and American Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on American Financial Group are associated (or correlated) with Palomar Holdings. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Palomar Holdings has no effect on the direction of American Financial i.e., American Financial and Palomar Holdings go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between American Financial and Palomar Holdings

Considering the 90-day investment horizon American Financial Group is expected to under-perform the Palomar Holdings. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, American Financial Group is 1.97 times less risky than Palomar Holdings. The stock trades about -0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Palomar Holdings is currently generating about 0.17 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  10,445  in Palomar Holdings on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,215  from holding Palomar Holdings or generate 30.78% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

American Financial Group  vs.  Palomar Holdings

 Performance 
       Timeline  
American Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days American Financial Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable technical and fundamental indicators, American Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.
Palomar Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Palomar Holdings are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively unfluctuating primary indicators, Palomar Holdings reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

American Financial and Palomar Holdings Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with American Financial and Palomar Holdings

The main advantage of trading using opposite American Financial and Palomar Holdings positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if American Financial position performs unexpectedly, Palomar Holdings can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Palomar Holdings will offset losses from the drop in Palomar Holdings' long position.
The idea behind American Financial Group and Palomar Holdings pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

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