FibroGen Corporate Bonds and Leverage Analysis

FGEN Stock  USD 0.35  0.01  1.53%   
FibroGen holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.893. At this time, FibroGen's Net Debt is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 11th of December 2024, Short Term Debt is likely to grow to about 20.2 M, while Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop about 89.2 M. With a high degree of financial leverage come high-interest payments, which usually reduce FibroGen's Earnings Per Share (EPS).

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

FibroGen's liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. FibroGen's cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps FibroGen Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect FibroGen's stakeholders.
For most companies, including FibroGen, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for FibroGen, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, FibroGen's management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
53.8258
Book Value
(2.07)
Operating Margin
(0.22)
Profit Margin
(0.97)
Return On Assets
(0.27)
At this time, FibroGen's Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 11th of December 2024, Non Current Liabilities Other is likely to grow to about 122.8 M, while Total Current Liabilities is likely to drop about 128.8 M.
  
Check out the analysis of FibroGen Fundamentals Over Time.
To learn how to invest in FibroGen Stock, please use our How to Invest in FibroGen guide.
View Bond Profile
Given the importance of FibroGen's capital structure, the first step in the capital decision process is for the management of FibroGen to decide how much external capital it will need to raise to operate in a sustainable way. Once the amount of financing is determined, management needs to examine the financial markets to determine the terms in which the company can boost capital. This move is crucial to the process because the market environment may reduce the ability of FibroGen to issue bonds at a reasonable cost.

FibroGen Bond Ratings

FibroGen financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much FibroGen have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for FibroGen's borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
4
PoorView
Beneish M Score
(2.61)
Unlikely ManipulatorView

FibroGen Debt to Cash Allocation

As FibroGen follows its natural business cycle, the capital allocation decisions will not magically go away. FibroGen's decision-makers have to determine if most of the cash flows will be poured back into or reinvested in the business, reserved for other projects beyond operational needs, or paid back to stakeholders and investors.
FibroGen currently holds 170.46 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.89, which is about average as compared to similar companies. FibroGen has a current ratio of 2.13, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about FibroGen's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.

FibroGen Total Assets Over Time

FibroGen Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which FibroGen uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

FibroGen Debt Ratio

    
  20.0   
It appears that most of the FibroGen's assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the FibroGen's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of FibroGen, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

FibroGen Corporate Bonds Issued

FibroGen Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

89.2 Million

At this time, FibroGen's Short and Long Term Debt Total is very stable compared to the past year.

Understaning FibroGen Use of Financial Leverage

Leverage ratios show FibroGen's total debt position, including all outstanding obligations. In simple terms, high financial leverage means that the cost of production, along with the day-to-day running of the business, is high. Conversely, lower financial leverage implies lower fixed cost investment in the business, which is generally considered a good sign by investors. The degree of FibroGen's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Short and Long Term Debt Total170.5 M89.2 M
Net Debt56.8 M59.6 M
Long Term Debt64.7 M46.3 M
Short Term Debt14.1 M20.2 M
Short and Long Term Debt132.3 M124.5 M
Long Term Debt Total50 M79 M
Net Debt To EBITDA(0.22)(0.21)
Debt To Equity(0.51)(0.48)
Interest Debt Per Share 1.08  1.14 
Debt To Assets 0.19  0.20 
Long Term Debt To Capitalization(0.90)(0.86)
Total Debt To Capitalization(0.90)(0.86)
Debt Equity Ratio(0.51)(0.48)
Debt Ratio 0.19  0.20 
Cash Flow To Debt Ratio(4.04)(4.24)
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Pair Trading with FibroGen

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if FibroGen position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in FibroGen will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against FibroGen Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to FibroGen could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace FibroGen when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back FibroGen - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling FibroGen to buy it.
The correlation of FibroGen is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as FibroGen moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if FibroGen moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for FibroGen can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether FibroGen offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of FibroGen's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Fibrogen Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Fibrogen Stock:
Check out the analysis of FibroGen Fundamentals Over Time.
To learn how to invest in FibroGen Stock, please use our How to Invest in FibroGen guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FibroGen. If investors know FibroGen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FibroGen listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.536
Earnings Share
(1.23)
Revenue Per Share
1.758
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.143
Return On Assets
(0.27)
The market value of FibroGen is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FibroGen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FibroGen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FibroGen's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FibroGen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FibroGen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FibroGen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FibroGen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FibroGen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

What is Financial Leverage?

Financial leverage is the use of borrowed money (debt) to finance the purchase of assets with the expectation that the income or capital gain from the new asset will exceed the cost of borrowing. In most cases, the debt provider will limit how much risk it is ready to take and indicate a limit on the extent of the leverage it will allow. In the case of asset-backed lending, the financial provider uses the assets as collateral until the borrower repays the loan. In the case of a cash flow loan, the general creditworthiness of the company is used to back the loan. The concept of leverage is common in the business world. It is mostly used to boost the returns on equity capital of a company, especially when the business is unable to increase its operating efficiency and returns on total investment. Because earnings on borrowing are higher than the interest payable on debt, the company's total earnings will increase, ultimately boosting stockholders' profits.

Leverage and Capital Costs

The debt to equity ratio plays a role in the working average cost of capital (WACC). The overall interest on debt represents the break-even point that must be obtained to profitability in a given venture. Thus, WACC is essentially the average interest an organization owes on the capital it has borrowed for leverage. Let's say equity represents 60% of borrowed capital, and debt is 40%. This results in a financial leverage calculation of 40/60, or 0.6667. The organization owes 10% on all equity and 5% on all debt. That means that the weighted average cost of capital is (.4)(5) + (.6)(10) - or 8%. For every $10,000 borrowed, this organization will owe $800 in interest. Profit must be higher than 8% on the project to offset the cost of interest and justify this leverage.

Benefits of Financial Leverage

Leverage provides the following benefits for companies:
  • Leverage is an essential tool a company's management can use to make the best financing and investment decisions.
  • It provides a variety of financing sources by which the firm can achieve its target earnings.
  • Leverage is also an essential technique in investing as it helps companies set a threshold for the expansion of business operations. For example, it can be used to recommend restrictions on business expansion once the projected return on additional investment is lower than the cost of debt.
By borrowing funds, the firm incurs a debt that must be paid. But, this debt is paid in small installments over a relatively long period of time. This frees funds for more immediate use in the stock market. For example, suppose a company can afford a new factory but will be left with negligible free cash. In that case, it may be better to finance the factory and spend the cash on hand on inputs, labor, or even hold a significant portion as a reserve against unforeseen circumstances.

The Risk of Financial Leverage

The most obvious and apparent risk of leverage is that if price changes unexpectedly, the leveraged position can lead to severe losses. For example, imagine a hedge fund seeded by $50 worth of investor money. The hedge fund borrows another $50 and buys an asset worth $100, leading to a leverage ratio of 2:1. For the investor, this is neither good nor bad -- until the asset price changes. If the asset price goes up 10 percent, the investor earns $10 on $50 of capital, a net gain of 20 percent, and is very pleased with the increased gains from the leverage. However, if the asset price crashes unexpectedly, say by 30 percent, the investor loses $30 on $50 of capital, suffering a 60 percent loss. In other words, the effect of leverage is to increase the volatility of returns and increase the effects of a price change on the asset to the bottom line while increasing the chance for profit as well.