Warby Parker Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

WRBY Stock  USD 20.45  0.17  0.84%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Warby Parker is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Warby Parker given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Warby Parker, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Warby Parker Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Warby Stock please use our How to Invest in Warby Parker guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Warby and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Warby Parker. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Execute Warby Parker Buy or Sell Advice

The Warby recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Warby Parker. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Warby Parker or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Warby Parker's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Warby ParkerBuy Warby Parker
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Warby Parker has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), Jensen Alpha of (0.06), Total Risk Alpha of 0.1658 and Treynor Ratio of (0.15)
Our trade advice module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Warby Parker. It analyzes the entity potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Warby Parker is not overpriced, please check out all Warby Parker fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, as well as the relationship between the cash flow from operations and market capitalization . Given that Warby Parker has a number of shares shorted of 9.47 M, we strongly advise you to confirm Warby Parker market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevalent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Warby Parker Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Warby Parker generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Warby Parker has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 771.32 M. Net Loss for the year was (20.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 426.83 M.
Over 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from barrons.com: Target Warns February Sales Were Soft After Earnings Top Expectations

Warby Parker Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Warby Parker's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Warby Parker's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Warby Parker daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Warby Parker price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Warby Parker returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Warby Parker.
Mean Return
-0.19
Value At Risk
-4.82
Potential Upside
5.09
Standard Deviation
2.90
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Warby Parker historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Warby Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Warby Parker, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Warby Parker back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-12-31
2.1 M
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-12-31
M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
M
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-12-31
1.8 M
Macquarie Group Ltd2024-12-31
1.8 M
Jennison Associates Llc2024-12-31
1.8 M
Loomis, Sayles & Company Lp2024-12-31
1.7 M
Gilder Gagnon Howe & Co Llc2024-12-31
1.7 M
Timessquare Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
1.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
9.8 M
Durable Capital Partners Lp2024-12-31
M
Note, although Warby Parker's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Warby Parker Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(10.0M)(18.6M)(11.8M)6.6M9.9M10.4M
Investments(20.1M)(48.5M)(60.2M)(55.3M)(66.0M)(69.3M)
Change In Cash258.7M(57.7M)(47.8M)8.3M37.3M39.1M
Free Cash Flow12.7M(80.5M)(49.8M)7.3M34.7M36.4M
Depreciation18.4M21.9M31.9M38.6M45.9M31.4M
Other Non Cash Items85.3M7.8M5.4M9.3M6.7M6.4M
Capital Expenditures20.1M48.5M60.2M53.7M64.0M51.2M
Net Income(55.9M)(144.3M)(110.4M)(63.2M)(20.4M)(21.4M)
End Period Cash Flow314.1M256.4M208.6M216.9M254.2M239.4M

Warby Parker Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Warby Parker or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Warby Parker's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Warby stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.30
σ
Overall volatility
3.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Warby Parker Volatility Alert

Warby Parker exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.12 and kurtosis of 0.4. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Warby Parker's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Warby Parker's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Warby Parker Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Warby Parker's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Warby Parker's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Warby Parker and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Warby Parker or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Warby Parker's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Warby Parker by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Warby Parker to competition
FundamentalsWarby ParkerPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0635-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0284-0.14
Profit Margin(0.03) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.06) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.44 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding103.62 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders7.07 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions96.37 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted9.47 M4.71 M
Price To Book7.27 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.20 X11.42 X
Revenue771.32 M9.43 B
Gross Profit426.83 M27.38 B
EBITDA(30.11 M)3.9 B
Net Income(20.39 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents211.6 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.83 X5.01 X
Total Debt225.35 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.56 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.47 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.81 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations98.74 M971.22 M
Short Ratio6.34 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.17) X3.12 X
Target Price27.36
Number Of Employees2.22 K18.84 K
Beta1.92-0.15
Market Capitalization2.47 B19.03 B
Total Asset676.49 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(687.22 M)9.33 B
Working Capital195.69 M1.48 B
Net Asset676.49 M
Note: Acquisition by Neil Blumenthal of 28673 shares of Warby Parker subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Warby Parker Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Warby . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Warby Parker Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Warby Parker? Buying financial instruments such as Warby Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

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Additional Tools for Warby Stock Analysis

When running Warby Parker's price analysis, check to measure Warby Parker's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Warby Parker is operating at the current time. Most of Warby Parker's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Warby Parker's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Warby Parker's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Warby Parker to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.